NBA Monday player props: Fade Antetokounmpo, Porter
These are the four player props I'm rolling with.
Giannis Antetokounmpo under 51.5 points + rebounds + assists
Antetokounmpo will likely see more minutes in Game 2 after getting roughly 35 in the opener. Mike Budenholzer's objective is to keep his star asset fresh, but there's a chance the head coach caves in and lets the Greek Freak run wild.
If that's the case, I still like the under.
The two-time MVP has yet to surpass this total in any of his five postseason starts this year, averaging 46.8 combined across all three departments. He's been limited to 51 or fewer combined points, rebounds, and assists in 10 of his last 11 games dating back to the regular season, his most recent over coming on May 13.
Michael Porter Jr. under 7.5 rebounds
I'm surprised we're still seeing 7.5s available for Porter's rebound total. The score-first forward's tallied seven or more rebounds just twice in his last 13 outings.
The Suns were strong on the glass this season, ranking No. 7 in the NBA in total rebounds allowed (50.1) and No. 8 in offensive rebounds (9.4) per game. MPJ's opportunities in the opener should be limited.
Chris Paul over 8.5 assists
Paul capped off the first-round win with a 12-assist effort over the reigning champion Lakers. The veteran floor general recorded 8.9 per game in 2020-21 - his highest since 2016-17 - and averaged north of 11 in three meetings against the Nuggets this season.
Phoenix clocked out of the regular season No. 8 in the league in assists per made field goal (0.62). Denver's defense, meanwhile, allowed the fourth-most assists per made field goal, setting Paul up for a big night as a facilitator.
Bryn Forbes over 2.5 made threes
The Bucks can't possibly be worse from the perimeter after canning just six of their 30 attempts (20%) in Game 1. They'll hit nylon more frequently Monday, which attracts our attention to Forbes.
The 3-point specialist was a nonfactor in the opener, drilling just two of his eight attempts from the floor and one of his five attempts from deep. However, Forbes, who averaged 2.2 makes per game during the regular season, typically doesn't stay down long.
The shooting guard made one or zero triples just three times over his last 17 contests. In the three games following, he's a combined 14-of-21 (66.7%) from beyond the arc.
He'll turn it around tonight.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.
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